Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Santa Barbara
Big West
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.1#328
Expected Predictive Rating-12.0#327
Pace61.7#310
Improvement-3.6#319

Offense
Total Offense-9.2#341
First Shot-10.0#344
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#107
Layup/Dunks-2.8#282
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#96
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#322
Freethrows-3.3#337
Improvement-3.2#322

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#253
First Shot-2.5#248
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#233
Layups/Dunks+3.2#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#253
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#342
Freethrows+1.1#101
Improvement-0.4#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2016 169   Nebraska Omaha L 60-74 19%     0 - 1 -16.6 -18.7 +2.6
  Nov 16, 2016 104   San Francisco L 63-75 11%     0 - 2 -10.6 -4.5 -6.4
  Nov 19, 2016 122   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 70-77 7%     0 - 3 -2.1 +8.9 -11.3
  Nov 22, 2016 13   @ SMU L 57-84 1%     0 - 4 -6.7 -3.1 -6.0
  Nov 27, 2016 58   @ USC L 72-96 2%     0 - 5 -12.2 +3.7 -15.7
  Dec 11, 2016 240   @ San Diego L 68-77 18%     0 - 6 -11.3 +0.9 -13.0
  Dec 14, 2016 12   @ UCLA L 62-102 1%     0 - 7 -19.7 -10.9 -4.8
  Dec 21, 2016 127   Iona L 57-73 10%     0 - 8 -14.1 -15.5 +1.0
  Dec 22, 2016 54   Nevada L 66-67 3%     0 - 9 +8.7 +0.2 +8.5
  Dec 27, 2016 122   Cal St. Bakersfield W 62-60 OT 13%     1 - 9 +1.8 -2.6 +4.5
  Dec 30, 2016 267   Seattle L 76-80 38%     1 - 10 -13.1 +7.1 -20.4
  Jan 04, 2017 213   @ UC Davis L 47-73 15%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -26.8 -21.3 -6.3
  Jan 12, 2017 143   UC Irvine L 62-66 16%     1 - 12 0 - 2 -5.4 -2.2 -3.5
  Jan 14, 2017 301   Cal Poly W 58-53 48%     2 - 12 1 - 2 -6.5 -8.1 +2.7
  Jan 19, 2017 226   @ Long Beach St. L 76-81 16%     2 - 13 1 - 3 -6.5 -1.1 -5.4
  Jan 21, 2017 307   @ UC Riverside L 55-65 31%     2 - 14 1 - 4 -17.1 -10.9 -7.3
  Jan 25, 2017 280   Cal St. Northridge L 57-78 42%     2 - 15 1 - 5 -31.1 -21.9 -10.0
  Jan 28, 2017 264   @ Hawaii L 56-78 21%     2 - 16 1 - 6 -25.5 -13.8 -12.8
  Feb 02, 2017 256   Cal St. Fullerton L 53-79 35%     2 - 17 1 - 7 -34.0 -14.4 -22.6
  Feb 04, 2017 213   UC Davis L 64-67 27%     2 - 18 1 - 8 -8.8 -1.7 -7.4
  Feb 08, 2017 143   @ UC Irvine L 47-64 8%     2 - 19 1 - 9 -13.3 -13.1 -2.9
  Feb 11, 2017 280   @ Cal St. Northridge L 55-77 25%     2 - 20 1 - 10 -27.0 -17.7 -11.7
  Feb 16, 2017 264   Hawaii W 56-54 36%     3 - 20 2 - 10 -6.5 -12.3 +6.0
  Feb 18, 2017 226   Long Beach St. L 48-66 30%     3 - 21 2 - 11 -24.6 -22.1 -5.4
  Feb 23, 2017 307   UC Riverside W 68-61 50%     4 - 21 3 - 11 -5.1 +4.5 -8.5
  Mar 02, 2017 256   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 54-65 19%     4 - 22 3 - 12 -13.9 -6.2 -10.0
  Mar 04, 2017 301   @ Cal Poly W 57-44 29%     5 - 22 4 - 12 +6.6 -12.6 +21.0
Projected Record 5.0 - 22.0 4.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12 100.0% 100.0
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%